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Geomagnetic Secular Variation

1650
  • Henry Gellibrand
17th century geophysicist studying geomagnetic secular variation data.

(generated image for illustration only)

Geomagnetic secular variation refers to the slow changes in Earth’s magnetic field on timescales of years to millennia. These changes include shifts in field strength and the direction of the dipole axis, as well as the westward drift of non-dipole features. This variation is caused by the changing flow of molten iron in the outer core, the source of the geodynamo.

Secular variation is observed through continuous monitoring of the magnetic field at observatories and by satellites. The most prominent features include the decay of the main dipole component and the westward drift. The dipole moment has been decreasing at a rate of about 5% per century, which, if it continues, could lead to a geomagnetic reversal in a few thousand years. The westward drift is the tendency for non-dipolar features of the field, such as areas of high or low intensity, to move westward at approximately 0.2 degrees per year. This is thought to reflect a difference in rotation speed between the outer core and the overlying mantle.

On shorter timescales, scientists have observed ‘geomagnetic jerks,’ which are abrupt changes in the rate of secular variation, occurring over just a year or two. These are unpredictable and are thought to be caused by rapid changes in the fluid flow within the core. Because of secular variation, magnetic maps and models must be regularly updated. The World Magnetic Model (WMM), for instance, is updated every five years and is essential for navigation in applications ranging from military and commercial aviation to the compass in a smartphone.

UNESCO Nomenclature: 2505
– Geophysics

Type

Physical Phenomenon

Disruption

Substantial

Usage

Widespread Use

Precursors

  • invention of the magnetic compass
  • systematic recording of magnetic declination for navigation
  • William Gilbert’s model of Earth as a giant magnet

Applications

  • updating navigation charts and models like the World Magnetic Model (WMM)
  • archaeomagnetism for dating fired archaeological materials like pottery or kilns
  • providing constraints for geodynamo computer simulations
  • studying the dynamics of the Earth’s deep interior

Patents:

NA

Potential Innovations Ideas

  • real-time magnetic field mapping using a global network of quantum sensors
  • predictive models for secular variation to create navigation systems that don’t require frequent updates
  • using secular variation data to infer viscosity and conductivity at the core-mantle boundary
  • deep earth tomography using magnetic field fluctuations as a signal source
  • enhanced archaeomagnetic dating with resolution down to the decade level
  • AI algorithms that can predict geomagnetic jerks months in advance
  • dynamic power grid management systems that adjust to rapid magnetic field changes
  • long-term climate models that incorporate the influence of magnetic field strength on atmospheric chemistry
  • subterranean resource prospecting based on localized secular variation anomalies
  • secure communication channels that use unpredictable geomagnetic fluctuations as a one-time pad
Related to: secular variation, geomagnetic, westward drift, World Magnetic Model, archaeomagnetism, geodynamo, outer core, magnetic declination, dipole moment, geomagnetic jerk.

Historical Context

Geomagnetic Secular Variation

1650
1800
1852
1900
1912
1940
1940
1950
1800
1838
1872
1910
1940
1940
1946

(if date is unknown or not relevant, e.g. "fluid mechanics", a rounded estimation of its notable emergence is provided)

10th year anniversary

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