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MTBF Definition and Calculation

1960

Mean Time Between Failures (MTBF) is a reliability metric representing the predicted elapsed time between inherent failures of a repairable system. For systems with a constant failure rate \(\lambda\), MTBF is its reciprocal: \(MTBF = 1/\lambda\). This simple relationship is fundamental in reliability engineering for predicting system uptime and planning maintenance schedules, assuming failures follow an exponential distribution.

MTBF is a core parameter in reliability and availability analysis. It quantifies the average time that a system is operational before a failure occurs. The calculation \(MTBF = 1/\lambda\) assumes that the system’s failures follow an exponential distribution, which corresponds to a constant failure rate. This assumption is often valid for electronic components during their useful life, after the initial ‘infant mortality’ phase and before the ‘wear-out’ phase, as depicted by the bathtub curve model of reliability.

The failure rate, \(\lambda\), is typically expressed in failures per unit of time, such as failures per million hours. For example, if a component has a failure rate of 100 failures per 10^6 hours, its MTBF would be \(1 / (100 \times 10^{-6}) = 10,000\) hours. It is crucial to understand that MTBF is a statistical average, not a guarantee of minimum operational time. In fact, for an exponential distribution, the probability of a system surviving up to its MTBF is only about 36.8% (\(e^{-1}\)).

This metric is primarily used for repairable systems, where a failure is followed by a repair, returning the system to an operational state. For non-repairable items, the more appropriate metric is Mean Time To Failure (MTTF).

UNESCO Nomenclature: 2212
– Systems engineering

Type

Abstract System

Disruption

Substantial

Usage

Widespread Use

Precursors

  • actuarial science and life tables developed in the 17th century
  • probability theory, particularly the work of poisson and others on random events
  • quality control methods developed by walter a. shewhart in the 1920s
  • operations research developed during world war ii

Applications

  • predictive maintenance scheduling in manufacturing
  • data center uptime and hardware replacement planning
  • aerospace system reliability analysis
  • telecommunications network availability assessment

Patents:

NA

Potential Innovations Ideas

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Related to: mtbf, reliability engineering, failure rate, lambda, exponential distribution, availability, repairable system, predictive maintenance

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Historical Context

(if date is unknown or not relevant, e.g. "fluid mechanics", a rounded estimation of its notable emergence is provided)

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