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Dernières publications et brevets sur la modélisation climatique

Modélisation du climat

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Modélisation climatique
Les progrès réalisés en matière de modélisation climatique améliorent les prévisions et éclairent les politiques grâce à des représentations mathématiques améliorées du système climatique terrestre.

La modélisation climatique implique le développement et l'application de représentations mathématiques du système climatique de la Terre, intégrant les composantes atmosphériques, océaniques, terrestres et cryosphériques pour simuler les états climatiques passés, présents et futurs. Ces modèles fonctionnent à de multiples échelles spatiales et temporelles et intègrent des processus physiques, chimiques et biologiques afin d'analyser la variabilité du climat, de prédire les changements climatiques et d'améliorer la qualité de l'air et de l'eau. changement climatique impacts, and assess feedback mechanisms. Advances in computational methods, parameterization schemes, and data assimilation techniques drive improvements in model accuracy and resolution. The following page compiles the latest peer-reviewed publications and patented technologies that advance climate modeling methodologies, enhance model components, and refine projections critical for scientific research and policy formulation.

Il s'agit de notre dernière sélection de publications et de brevets mondiaux en anglais sur la modélisation climatique, parmi de nombreuses revues scientifiques en ligne, classées et axées sur le modèle climatique, le modèle de circulation générale, le MCG, le modèle du système terrestre, la simulation climatique, le modèle atmosphérique, le modèle océanique, le modèle couplé, le forçage radiatif, la sensibilité du climat, la paramétrisation, la projection du climat, modélisation d'ensemble, rétroaction climatique, variabilité climatique, réduction d'échelle, scénario climatique, modèle du cycle du carbone, prévision climatique, initialisation du modèle, assimilation des données climatiques, forçage climatique, équilibre climatique, réponse climatique transitoire, téléconnexion climatique, correction des biais climatiques, intercomparaison des modèles climatiques, dynamique climatique et incertitude climatique.

Method for securing an aircraft video link from a first domain to a second domain, implemented with controlled spatial and temporal parameterization,

Patent published on the 2026-06-11 in US under Ref US20260163870 by DASSAULT AVIATION [FR] (Ashtari Darius [fr])

Abstract: A method for securing an aircraft video link from a first domain to a second domain, implemented with controlled spatial and temporal parameterization, associated system and aircraft, the method including receiving, from a first domain, an input video data stream according to an input control plane including spatial and temporal parameterization of the input video data stream, transmitting to the second domain an output video stream obtained from the input video data stream, according to an outp[...]


Our summary: The method secures an aircraft video link between two domains. It involves receiving and transmitting video data streams with controlled spatial and temporal parameters. The security system imposes specific input control plane parameters on the first domain.

video link security, spatial parameterization, temporal parameterization, aircraft systems

Patent

Machine learning systems and methods for improved statistical downscaling for extreme weather event modeling using generative diffusion models

Patent published on the 2026-05-21 in US under Ref US20260141139 by INSURANCE SERVICES OFFICE INC [US] (Sundar Rahul [in], Hu Yucong [ca], Parashar Nishant [in], Blanchard Antoine [us], Dodov Boyko [us])

Abstract: [0000] Machine learning systems and methods for extreme weather event modeling using generative diffusion models are provided. The system includes a weather modeling processor and a weather modeling engine executed by the processor. The weather modeling engine causes the processor to: receive a dataset including a plurality of vorticity samples; process the dataset using a deterministic mean model having a temporal attention unit to model spatial, cross-channel, and temporal dependencies using d[...]


Our summary: The system employs machine learning for improved modeling of extreme weather events. It processes vorticity samples using a deterministic mean model with temporal attention. A reverse diffusion model captures fine-scale features and generates denoised outputs for downscaling.

machine learning, statistical downscaling, extreme weather, generative diffusion models

Patent

seals as meltwater monitors

Published on 2026-05-19 by Alice Drinkwater @NATURE

Abstract: Communications Earth & Environment, Published online: 19 May 2026; doi:10.1038/s43247-026-03609-6Measuring meltwater coming off polar glaciers can help us to understand how climate change is impacting Antarctic ice sheets, but this meltwater is difficult to observe and track over time. Dr Zheng and colleagues solved this problem by using data collected by tagged seals. The seals were equipped with tags that measured temperature, salinity, and pressure, building a picture of Antarctic ice-she[...]


Our summary: Researchers used tagged seals to monitor meltwater from Antarctic glaciers. The seals provided data on temperature, salinity, and pressure. Findings indicate that meltwater rises in winter, influencing climate models.

meltwater monitoring, Antarctic ice sheets, tagged seals, climate modeling

Publication

Method and system for constructing a water inflow forecasting model in typical karst landscape watershed

Patent published on the 2026-05-07 in LU under Ref LU603752 by GUIZHOU NEW METEOROLOGICAL TECH CO LTD [CN] (Luo Naixing [cn], Xia Xiaoling [cn], Zeng Liping [cn])

Abstract: The present invention discloses a method and system for constructing a typical Karst Landscape watercraft forecasting model, which relates to the technical field of prediction model construction, and includes performing downscaling study of weather history data based on existing weather observation data; based on the typical hydrological section observation data, the runoff data of the subflow area outlet section is calculated, and using the subflow area surf ace rain and runoff, a linear regres[...]


Our summary: The invention presents a method and system for constructing a water inflow forecasting model in karst landscapes. It utilizes historical weather and hydrological data to enhance prediction accuracy through deep learning algorithms. The model incorporates cross-validation and error thresholds for improved generalization and flexibility across various watersheds.

water forecasting, karst landscape, deep learning, model optimization

Patent

Precipitation downscaling with limited ground-observation data

Patent published on the 2026-05-06 in EP under Ref EP4737951 by FUJITSU LTD [JP] (Ushijima-mwesigwa Hayato [us], Wong Hon Yung [us], Dai Ting-yu [us])

Abstract: A method to train a diffusion model for satellite observation precipitation data downscaling may include obtaining high-resolution (HR) ground observation precipitation data that has a first resolution. The method may include obtaining corresponding low-resolution (LR) satellite observation precipitation data that has a second resolution lower than the first resolution. The method may include upsampling the LR satellite observation precipitation data that has the second resolution to generate up[...]


Our summary: The method trains a diffusion model for downscaling satellite precipitation data using limited ground observations. It involves obtaining high-resolution ground data and low-resolution satellite data, then upsampling the latter. Training residuals are generated and denoised to update the diffusion model for improved predictions.

Precipitation downscaling, diffusion model, satellite observation, ground observation

Patent

Inter-Comparison of Deep Learning Models for Flood Forecasting in Ethiopia&rsquo;s Upper Awash Basin

Published on 2026-02-03 by Girma Moges Mengistu, Addisu G. Semie, Gulilat T. Diro, Natei Ermias Benti, Emiola O. Gbobaniyi, Yonas Mersha @MDPI

Abstract: Flood events driven by climate variability and change pose significant risks for socio-economic activities in the Awash Basin, necessitating advanced forecasting tools. This study benchmarks five deep learning (DL) architectures, Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), Bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM), and a Hybrid CNN&amp;ndash;LSTM, for daily discharge forecasting for the Hombole catchment in the Upper Awash Basin (UAB) using 40 years of hy[...]


Our summary: This study benchmarks five deep learning architectures for daily discharge forecasting in Ethiopia s Upper Awash Basin. The Hybrid CNN–LSTM model achieved the best performance, while all deep learning models outperformed traditional baselines. Findings suggest deep learning methods enhance flood early-warning systems, though challenges in peak-flow magnitude prediction remain.

Deep Learning, Flood Forecasting, Hydrometeorological, Model Evaluation

Publication

Biaxial Constitutive Relation and Strength Criterion of Envelope Materials for Stratospheric Airships

Published on 2026-02-03 by Zhanbo Li, Yanchu Yang, Rong Cai, Tao Li @MDPI

Abstract: The performance upgrading of stratospheric airships hinges on breakthroughs in the mechanical properties of envelope materials. As a multi-layer composite, the envelope&amp;rsquo;s load-bearing layer exhibits orthotropic and nonlinear mechanical behaviors owing to its unique structure and manufacturing process. To overcome the limitations of traditional testing methods and classical strength criteria in characterizing envelope materials, this paper presents a systematic investigation of typi[...]


Our summary: This study investigates the mechanical properties of stratospheric airship envelope materials using modified biaxial testing methods. It develops constitutive models and a five-parameter strength criterion to predict material failure. The findings enhance the engineering design and strength prediction of these materials.

Biaxial testing, Constitutive models, Envelope materials, Strength criterion

Publication

A Comparison of the RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 Scenarios (2021&ndash;2050) Using the MUSLE Model

Published on 2026-02-03 by Damian Badora, Rafa? Wawer, Aleksandra Krl-Badziak, Beata Bartosiewicz, Jerzy Kozyra @MDPI

Abstract: This study aims to assess how climate change will affect the intensity of soil erosion in the Vistula River basin by the mid-21st century. A simulation framework based on the SWAT&amp;ndash;MUSLE model was applied, calibrated, and validated against observed streamflow data and driven by climatic forcings from the EURO-CORDEX ensemble (the RACMO22E, HIRHAM5, and RCA4 models forced by EC-EARTH GCM) under the RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios. Simulations were conducted at a daily time step for the[...]


Our summary: This study evaluates the impact of climate change on soil erosion in the Vistula River basin using the SWAT-MUSLE model under RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios. Simulations indicate increased sediment yield relative to baseline values, with significant seasonal variations. The findings highlight the need for targeted soil protection measures and infrastructure maintenance in response to projected erosion trends.

RCP scenarios, soil erosion, MUSLE model, climate change

Publication

Sujets abordés : modélisation du climat, représentations mathématiques, système climatique terrestre, composantes atmosphériques, composantes océaniques, composantes terrestres, composantes cryosphériques, variabilité du climat, impacts du changement climatique, mécanismes de rétroaction, méthodes de calcul, schémas de paramétrage, techniques d'assimilation de données, précision des modèles, résolution des modèles, publications évaluées par les pairs et technologies brevetées.

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(si la date est inconnue ou non pertinente, par exemple « mécanique des fluides », une estimation arrondie de son émergence notable est fournie)

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